Progress to target
Resolves on the number itselfImplied probability
model 49%Nothing staked yet, so there is no market price. The number above is the model's estimate — the first bet sets the odds.
Resolution
- Source. CoinGecko's USD index price — a cross-exchange aggregate, so no single venue's wick can settle this.
- Measure. YES if BTC is trading at or above $77,670 when the market closes.
- Settlement. Every market settles at 00:00 UTC on the day's PnL — FOMO's 24h figure is a trailing window, so read at midnight it is exactly the calendar day. This one opened Mon, 02 Nov 2026 13:15:00 GMT, betting closes Mon, 02 Nov 2026 13:28:07 GMT and it settles Mon, 02 Nov 2026 13:30:00 GMT.
- Payout. Parimutuel: 10% of the whole pool goes to the platform when the market settles, and the winning side splits the other 90% in proportion to its stakes. Nothing is locked in when you stake — later stakes on your side dilute your share, later stakes against you grow it. If nobody takes the other side, the market voids and every stake is refunded.